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Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 8/4/26
Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 8/4/26

Macro / overnightBig headline shift overnight: US/Iran have agreed a 2-week ceasefire, taking markets back from the brink for now.The move happened fast and a lot of the initial price action was...

S&P500 Trading Update 8/4/26
S&P500 Trading Update 8/4/26

S&P500 Trading Update 8/4/26***QUOTING ES1! FOR CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS, SUBTRACT POINT DIFFERENCE***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6640/50WEEKLY RANGE RES 6754 SUP 6450April OPEX Straddle: 328.55pt...

Institutional insights: Citi Desk Talk 'CTA Fuel Now, Ask Questions Later'
Institutional insights: Citi Desk Talk 'CTA Fuel Now, Ask Questions Later'

Global markets have rallied sharply overnight following the US-Iran ceasefire. While we would not stand in the way of a sizable CTA-driven buying wave, we remain cautious about adding fresh positions...

Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 7/4/26
Institutional FX Insights: JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 7/4/26

Macro / overnight- Geopolitics still dominates — Iran/Gulf remains the only real driver and the market is fatigued from chasing conflicting headlines.- US payrolls were solid enough to show the labor...

Institutional Insights: BofA Systematic Flows Monitor 'CTA Selling Still Spans Equities & Bonds'
Institutional Insights: BofA Systematic Flows Monitor 'CTA Selling Still Spans Equities & Bonds'

SPX Gamma Short Position: The market is currently facing a significant net short position of $3.9 billion in SPX gamma, with $3.5 billion in non-expiring options and $200 million in ODTs. This...

S&P500 Trading Update 7/4/26
S&P500 Trading Update 7/4/26

S&P500 Trading Update 7/4/26***QUOTING ES1! FOR CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS, SUBTRACT POINT DIFFERENCE***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6640/50WEEKLY RANGE RES 6754 SUP 6450April OPEX Straddle: 328.55pt...

S&P500 Trading Update 2/4/26
S&P500 Trading Update 2/4/26

S&P500 Trading Update 2/4/26***QUOTING ES1! FOR CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS, SUBTRACT POINT DIFFERENCE***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6570/80WEEKLY RANGE RES 6529 SUP 6267April OPEX Straddle: 328.55pt...

Institutional Insights: JPMorgan Flows & Liquidity 2/4/26
Institutional Insights: JPMorgan Flows & Liquidity 2/4/26

Market Flow Overview1. US Liquidity & Asset Redeployment: $380bn YTD cash balances (annualized $1.8tr). Potential $4.5tr could flow into equities, bonds, and gold if Middle East tensions ease.2....

Institutional FX Insights JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 1/4/26
Institutional FX Insights JPMorgan Trading Desk Views 1/4/26

JPM G10 FXEUROne of the more disorderly month-end sessions in recent memory played out yesterday. As I suggested previously, expectations for dollar buying may have run too far ahead. The dollar had...