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Fundamental Analysis

SPX Poised to Escape Major Bearish Trend and the Fed may be a Catalyst
SPX Poised to Escape Major Bearish Trend and the Fed may be a Catalyst

Risk assets rallied after US jobless claims data pointed to decreasing strength of the US labor market. Labor market imbalances are now the key driver of inflation (through the impact of wages on...

Market weekly overview: the chances of a dollar rebound increase
Market weekly overview: the chances of a dollar rebound increase

The past week featured quiet volatility on FX and equity markets. The key gauge of US equity’s performance, the S&P 500, oscillated in a relatively narrow range (4050-3930) and is likely to end...

CNY rally may be at its initial stages as upside surprises are yet to appear in China data
CNY rally may be at its initial stages as upside surprises are yet to appear in China data

Chinese currency has risen significantly over the past few days after the government announced a further easing of social distancing measures and travel curbs. However, the rally may be at its initial...

Aussie Outlook Weakening Near-Term
Aussie Outlook Weakening Near-Term

Aussie Under PressureThe Australian Dollar is coming under heavy selling pressure this week as a combination of internal and external factors weigh on investor sentiment. Firstly, the recent RBA rates...

Dollar Slowly Gains Ground ahead of the Fed as Markets are Unsure about CB Pivot
Dollar Slowly Gains Ground ahead of the Fed as Markets are Unsure about CB Pivot

After a positioning-driven rally in risk assets over the past couple of months, financial markets are returning to macroeconomic factors, where the 2023 global slowdown is in focus. Brent crude falls...

AUDUSD Approaches Key Resistance Zone and the New Year may Prove Bearish for AUD
AUDUSD Approaches Key Resistance Zone and the New Year may Prove Bearish for AUD

The RBA delivered a 25 bp rate hike and indicated that it plans to deliver at least a 50 bp tightening in 2023 driving terminal rate to 3.6%. There were no bullish implications for AUD as the RBA’s...

Three factors for a possible USD revaluation
Three factors for a possible USD revaluation

The November NFP report improved the USD position, however the rebound following a strong release from the level of 104.50 was quickly erased, with the aggressive sell-off that began near the 105.50...

US November wage growth remains solid, dashing hopes for the Fed Pivot
US November wage growth remains solid, dashing hopes for the Fed Pivot

US November Payrolls gained 263K, according to the report released by the BLS on Friday. The reading beat estimates however MoM growth was the lowest since April last year.Consensus estimate was 200K,...

Upside Surprise in NFP will Likely Trigger Rebound in Oversold USD
Upside Surprise in NFP will Likely Trigger Rebound in Oversold USD

Another batch of US macroeconomic data pointed to an easing in inflation pressures while the consumer spending index (Core PCE) rose by 0.2% in October against the forecast of 0.3%. US equities rose...